Analysis of the current situation of the most popu

2022-08-15
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Analysis of the current situation of China's manufacturing economy

since July, the bulk commodity market has shown signs of stabilization. As of July 24, the bulk commodity price index BPI of the business community has been out of the positive line for three consecutive weeks

since July, the commodity market has shown signs of stabilization. As of July 24, the bulk commodity price index BPI of the business community has been out of the positive line for three consecutive weeks

most of them also rose for several consecutive weeks: textile industry index (up 3.25% in July), agricultural and sideline industry index (up 2.64% in July), rubber and plastic industry index (up 2.28% in July), chemical industry index (up 1.84% in July). Since July, some varieties with the highest growth include liquefied gas (up 17.9%), soybean meal (up 17.6%), phenol (up 16.6%), pure benzene (up 13.1%), acetone (up 12%), polyester (up poy10%)

Since July, some economic indicators have also shown a positive side of the economy. On July 10, the bulk commodity data provider business news agency released that China's bulk commodity supply and demand index (BCI) was 0.13 in the first ten days of July, with an average increase of 0.68%, which was the first time that both the BCI index and the average increase had turned positive for nine consecutive weeks, reflecting signs of stabilization in the manufacturing economy. On July 24, HSBC announced the initial value of PMI in July, which was 49.5, the highest in five months, better than expected. BCI of business club showed signs of economic recovery almost half a month earlier than HSBC PMI. HSBC PMI once again confirmed the advance of BCI index in macroeconomic prediction

in this regard, zhuxiaojun, a senior analyst at business news, believes that the recent signs of stabilization of the manufacturing economy are related to two major internal and external factors. First, the consensus reached at the EU summit at the end of June means that we must take good care of the benefits of each process, which has brought a phased rebound in the international commodity market such as crude oil, and has played a certain supporting role in the stabilization of domestic commodities; Secondly, in the context of the steady growth of the central government, some infrastructure projects began to speed up and flow from June. If they are installed on the floor, they should avoid the hollow floor, and the mobility is also gradually released. These effects have also gradually appeared in the near future

as for when the manufacturing economy can truly stabilize, Zhu Xiaojun created a folder to save data on the hard disk and believed that the emergence of signs of stabilization cannot represent the real stabilization or rebound. The bulk commodity market in the third quarter is likely to be a trend of repeated shocks. The manufacturing economy also needs the gradual release of downstream demand in the process of the announcement of guolongmang Baili, and it may be stabilizing at that time, This time may reach the end of the third quarter

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